Luzern 1-2 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Jul 2024

Luzern
1-2 HT 0-1
Servette
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Luzern vs Servette Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.73 — our 28% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.29
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
6.89
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
12%
5.26
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
19%
2.95
2/X
6%
12.0
Value flag · X/1 at 6.89 — our 16% vs market 10.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luzern v Servette — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.46/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.11
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
20.0 Crosses 21.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Luzern vs Servette Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 296
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 1-2 Servette Servette İSV
29.10.2023 Servette Servette 4-2 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
24.09.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
29.05.2023 Luzern Luzern 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
12.03.2023 Servette Servette 0-3 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
09.10.2022 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV

Luzern 1-2 Servette — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
1-2
AWAY Servette
1.10 xG 1.34
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
331 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette nicked a narrow win over Luzern 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Servette found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Luzern had 50% of the ball to Servette's 50%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.10 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luzern and 1.33 for Servette.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Servette?

Luzern 1-2 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated an Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Luzern 35%, draw 26%, Servette 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Under 2.5
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