Young Boys 1-2 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
16%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
21%
4.05
X/2
11%
10.95
X/X
9%
6.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.15
2/2
6%
7.56
2/X
6%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +25%
2.13/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.98
+45% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
26.4 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sion
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.56 xG 1.09
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
428 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
42 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.02.2024 Sion Sion 2-1 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
09.01.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 4-3 HT 2-2 Sion Sion HAZ
21.05.2023 Sion Sion 0-2 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
11.03.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 4-0 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
22.10.2022 Young Boys Young Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
24.07.2022 Sion Sion 0-3 HT 0-2 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
1-2
AWAY Sion
1.21 xG 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
368 Passes 250
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 10
48 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion nicked a narrow win over Young Boys 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Young Boys at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Young Boys had 59% of the ball to Sion's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.21 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Young Boys and 1.00 for Sion.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Sion?

Young Boys 1-2 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 55%, draw 23%, Sion 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Young Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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