Luzern 2-3 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.7
X/1
13%
3.82
X/2
10%
11.8
X/X
8%
6.73
2/1
10%
20.1
2/2
10%
8.46
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
17.05
Value flag · 2/X at 17.05 — our 12% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.65/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.81
-31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
23.8 Crosses 11.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Yverdon
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 3-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
04.04.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
23.01.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
22.10.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
2-3
AWAY Yverdon
1.93 xG 0.84
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
15 Corners 3
409 Passes 239
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 18
42 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon nicked a narrow win over Luzern 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Luzern at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Luzern had 61% of the ball to Yverdon's 39%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 1.93 to 0.84 — on chances, Luzern could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Luzern and 1.50 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Yverdon?

Luzern 2-3 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Luzern 47%, draw 26%, Yverdon 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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