La Serena 0-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.15/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.28
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.7 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
2W-0D-4L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.94 xG 1.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
243 Passes 339
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 U. Catolica 1-3 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
10.09.2022 La Serena La Serena 0-4 HT 0-2 U. Catolica ŞİL
10.04.2022 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
13.11.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
08.08.2021 U. Catolica 4-3 HT 3-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
05.02.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
0-1
AWAY U. Catolica
0.66 xG 0.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
218 Passes 259
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Serena vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica nicked a narrow win over La Serena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, La Serena had 48% of the ball to U. Catolica's 52%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.66 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for La Serena and 2.17 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of La Serena vs U. Catolica?

La Serena 0-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split La Serena 27%, draw 25%, U. Catolica 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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