Austria Salzburg 1-2 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

Austria Salzburg
1-2 HT 1-0
Sturm Graz II
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.02
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
22%
5.16
X/2
9%
6.78
X/X
13%
5.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.0
2/2
15%
4.6
2/X
5%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Salzburg v Sturm Graz II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Salzburg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.31/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.89
+45% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II edged past Austria Salzburg 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Salzburg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II?

Austria Salzburg 1-2 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Austria Salzburg 48%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz II 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Salzburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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