Bregenz 1-2 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.83
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
7%
9.03
X/2
23%
4.41
X/X
9%
5.58
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.29
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
53%
Away Win
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
0.88/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.14
-26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
235 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
4.0 Crosses 21.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
25.04.2025 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 1-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
26.10.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 1-1 HT 1-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau edged past Bregenz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Austria Lustenau as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bregenz and 1.50 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Austria Lustenau?

Bregenz 1-2 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 26%, draw 21%, Austria Lustenau 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
8 Nov 2025
16:30 Austria Salzburg vs Sturm Graz II Analysis →
16:30 Rapid Wien II vs Austria Klagenfurt Analysis →