Bregenz 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

Bregenz
1-1 HT 1-1
Austria Lustenau
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bregenz vs Austria Lustenau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.42
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.63
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.54
X/2
18%
4.82
X/X
9%
4.71
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
15%
3.01
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bregenz v Austria Lustenau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 48%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.47/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.16
+12% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
4.0 Crosses 23.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Bregenz 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bregenz
1-1
AWAY Austria Lustenau
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz and Austria Lustenau shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bregenz had 60% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 40%, shots finished 22-7.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Austria Lustenau?

Bregenz 1-1 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 33%, draw 26%, Austria Lustenau 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Lustenau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
26 Oct 2024
15:30 Rapid Wien II vs Lafnitz Analysis →
15:30 FC Liefering vs Stripfing Analysis →
21:00 Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker Analysis →