Rapid Wien II 2-3 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.24
2-3 Goals
46%
2.22
4-5 Goals
24%
2.44
6+ Goals
10%
4.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.3
X/1
19%
4.23
X/2
6%
11.25
X/X
8%
7.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
17.95
2/2
14%
6.95
2/X
11%
15.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.95 — our 12% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.1pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.9pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 23%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.95/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.03
-7% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 7.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Lafnitz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
01.10.2022 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-1 HT 0-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
06.05.2022 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-3 HT 0-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
29.10.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 4-2 HT 3-1 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
02.04.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
03.10.2020 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 2-3 HT 1-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien II
2-3
AWAY Lafnitz
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien II vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lafnitz edged past Rapid Wien II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Rapid Wien II had 50% of the ball to Lafnitz's 50%, shots finished 21-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lafnitz led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rapid Wien II and 2.17 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien II vs Lafnitz?

Rapid Wien II 2-3 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien II vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien II 46%, draw 27%, Lafnitz 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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