Sturm Graz II 3-1 Admira Wacker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

Sturm Graz II
3-1 HT 2-1
Admira Wacker
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
55%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.3
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
4%
8.15
X/2
19%
4.47
X/X
10%
5.68
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.4
2/X
8%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.3 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
55%
Away Win
51%
+4.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz II v Admira Wacker — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.37/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.11
+8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.7 Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Admira Wacker
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-3 HT 0-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
01.09.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.05.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-5 HT 2-2 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
09.09.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-2 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2

Sturm Graz II 3-1 Admira Wacker — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
3-1
AWAY Admira Wacker
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 22
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II saw off Admira Wacker 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. Admira Wacker carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 38% of the ball to Admira Wacker's 62%, shots finished 12-22.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Admira Wacker led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sturm Graz II and 2.50 for Admira Wacker.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker?

Sturm Graz II 3-1 Admira Wacker in the Austria - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 22%, draw 23%, Admira Wacker 55%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Admira Wacker) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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