Austria Lustenau 2-1 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
35%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
53%
-18.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.7pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +16%
1.66/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.30
-15% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
19.6 Crosses 12.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bregenz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 1-1 HT 1-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Lustenau
2-1
AWAY Bregenz
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau squeezed past Bregenz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Austria Lustenau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Austria Lustenau had 46% of the ball to Bregenz's 54%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Bregenz?

Austria Lustenau 2-1 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 35%, draw 30%, Bregenz 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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