St. Pölten 4-1 SV Horn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.49
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
22%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.5pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Horn EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.50/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.87
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
26.0 Crosses 10.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
3W-0D-3L
AWAY SV Horn
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 SV Horn SV Horn 2-4 HT 2-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
24.11.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-2 HT 0-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
03.03.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-2 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
22.10.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
30.08.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AUK
04.03.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs SV Horn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten swept aside SV Horn 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Pölten and 1.50 for SV Horn.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs SV Horn?

St. Pölten 4-1 SV Horn in the Austria - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs SV Horn?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 50%, draw 26%, SV Horn 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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