Admira Wacker 2-3 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.66
6+ Goals
10%
6.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 25% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-18.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.46/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.84
-33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
394 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-1 HT 2-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
31.03.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-3 HT 0-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
01.09.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.05.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-5 HT 2-2 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
09.09.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-2 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
2-3
AWAY Sturm Graz II
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II nicked a narrow win over Admira Wacker 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Admira Wacker at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 58% of the ball to Sturm Graz II's 42%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Admira Wacker and 1.80 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II?

Admira Wacker 2-3 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 52%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz II 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✗ BTTS No
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