Naft Gachsaran 2-1 Mes Kerman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
46%
2.58
Away
21%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
85%
Over 2.5
15%
1.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
3.08
No
67%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.39
2-3 Goals
40%
2.2
4-5 Goals
8%
14.2
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
31%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
-0.1pp
46%
Draw
37%
+9.1pp
21%
Away Win
30%
-9.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
28%
+4.1pp
68%
BTTS No
72%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
0.77/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.44
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +111%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Mes Kerman
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
11.04.2025 Naft Gachsaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
16.11.2024 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-1 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
15.02.2024 Naft Gachsaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
10.09.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 1-2 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran squeezed past Mes Kerman 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (85%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Naft Gachsaran and 0.75 for Mes Kerman.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?

Naft Gachsaran 2-1 Mes Kerman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 33%, draw 46%, Mes Kerman 21%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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