Mes Kerman 2-1 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.31
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.93/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.03
-24% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Kerman
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.02.2024 Naft Gachsaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
10.09.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 1-2 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Kerman vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Kerman squeezed past Naft Gachsaran 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mes Kerman as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft Gachsaran led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mes Kerman and 1.00 for Naft Gachsaran.

What was the final score of Mes Kerman vs Naft Gachsaran?

Mes Kerman 2-1 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Kerman vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Kerman win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mes Kerman 42%, draw 30%, Naft Gachsaran 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Kerman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mes Kerman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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