Mes Soongoun 2-2 Shahrdari Noshahr FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.85
No
63%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.78
2-3 Goals
32%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 40% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
50%
-12.7pp
63%
BTTS No
50%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahrdari Noshahr FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mes Soongoun vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun and Shahrdari Noshahr FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mes Soongoun vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC?

Mes Soongoun 2-2 Shahrdari Noshahr FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Soongoun vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Soongoun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mes Soongoun 41%, draw 23%, Shahrdari Noshahr FC 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mes Soongoun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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