Ayacucho FC 0-3 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.51/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.59
-16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
23.8 Crosses 14.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayacucho FC
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.07.2025 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
06.04.2018 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
17.02.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
21.08.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 4-0 HT 4-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
27.05.2017 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 5-3 HT 2-3 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayacucho FC
0-3
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.32 xG 0.18
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos cruised past Ayacucho FC 3-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ayacucho FC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, expected goals 1.32 to 0.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ayacucho FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Comerciantes Unidos led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Ayacucho FC and 2.40 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Ayacucho FC 0-3 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayacucho FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 55%, draw 23%, Comerciantes Unidos 21%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ayacucho FC)
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