FC Sochi 0-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.69
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.29
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
12%
6.54
X/2
16%
4.69
X/X
13%
4.07
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.2
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 46%
+14% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +33%
1.54/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.28
+17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.6 Crosses 16.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rostov
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
310 Passes 305
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
19.08.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 4-0 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
14.05.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.08.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.03.2022 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
16.10.2021 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-2 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
0-1
AWAY Rostov
0.18 xG 1.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
279 Passes 366
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over FC Sochi 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Sochi had 46% of the ball to Rostov's 54%, shots finished 2-19, expected goals 0.18 to 1.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rostov's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sochi had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Sochi and 1.00 for Rostov.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Rostov?

FC Sochi 0-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 29%, draw 27%, Rostov 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5
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