Rostov 2-2 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Rostov
2-2 HT 2-2
FC Sochi
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Rostov vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
11%
7.4
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
5.59
2/X
6%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.25/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.45
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.5 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rostov vs FC Sochi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Sochi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 303
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 4-0 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
14.05.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.08.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.03.2022 Rostov Rostov 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
16.10.2021 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-2 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
06.03.2021 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS

Rostov 2-2 FC Sochi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
2-2
AWAY FC Sochi
1.64 xG 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
286 Passes 270
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rostov vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and FC Sochi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rostov had 52% of the ball to FC Sochi's 48%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.64 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sochi led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rostov and 1.83 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Rostov vs FC Sochi?

Rostov 2-2 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rostov 47%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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