Ural 1-2 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.04
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.06
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
16%
5.32
X/2
14%
5.25
X/X
12%
3.74
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.99
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.30/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
-20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
23.3 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
340 Passes 324
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-1 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS
21.05.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-0 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS
24.10.2022 Ural Ural 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
10.04.2022 Ural Ural 0-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
20.11.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
08.12.2019 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-3 HT 1-1 Ural Ural RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
1-2
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.29 xG 1.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
149 Passes 265
61% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ural vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov squeezed past Ural 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Krylya Sovetov made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ural had 41% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 59%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.29 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ural and 1.83 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Ural vs Krylya Sovetov?

Ural 1-2 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ural 38%, draw 28%, Krylya Sovetov 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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