Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.23
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.6
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
9%
6.64
X/2
10%
4.29
X/X
15%
3.79
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.04
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.04/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.13
+20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.7 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 473
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
29.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
04.08.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
09.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
22.10.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
19.10.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar edged past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Krasnodar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.67 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 31%, draw 29%, Krasnodar 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
6 Apr 2024
14:00 Ural vs Krylya Sovetov Analysis →
20:00 Rostov vs FC Sochi Analysis →