Radnik Surdulica 1-0 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.21/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.55
-35% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.6 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1-0
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.66 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
257 Passes 247
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Surdulica nicked a narrow win over OFK Beograd 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Radnik Surdulica found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 51% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 49%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.66 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd?

Radnik Surdulica 1-0 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 35%, draw 29%, OFK Beograd 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFK Beograd), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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