Napredak Krusevac 0-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.36/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
+10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.3 Crosses 18.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
21.09.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 1-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
22.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
16.12.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
20.08.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
26.04.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
0.95 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
409 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Napredak Krusevac at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 54% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 46%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 0.95 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.33 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Napredak Krusevac 0-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 43%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✓ Under 2.5
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