Mladost Lucani 1-0 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +25%
1.42/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.07
+15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.1 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 308
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 1-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
22.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
16.12.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
20.08.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
26.04.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
04.04.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-0
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
0.75 xG 0.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
350 Passes 380
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Mladost Lucani made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 48% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 52%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.75 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mladost Lucani and 0.83 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Napredak Krusevac?

Mladost Lucani 1-0 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mladost Lucani win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 38%, draw 27%, Napredak Krusevac 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mladost Lucani), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mladost Lucani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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