Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

Napredak Krusevac
1-2 HT 1-2
Mladost Lucani
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2024/2025

Napredak Krusevac vs Mladost Lucani Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napredak Krusevac v Mladost Lucani — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.29/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.98
+13% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +99%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.8 Crosses 16.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Napredak Krusevac vs Mladost Lucani Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
290 Passes 252
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
16.12.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
20.08.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
26.04.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
04.04.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
08.10.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP

Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Mladost Lucani — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-2
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.85 xG 0.91
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 2
404 Passes 169
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
37 Box Touches 7
44 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Mladost Lucani found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 66% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 34%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.85 to 0.91 — on chances, Napredak Krusevac could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.33 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mladost Lucani win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 37%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mladost Lucani) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mladost Lucani) ✗ Under 2.5
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