Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Novi Pazar — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
4-0
HT 2-0
Novi Pazar
SIRBK
2-1
HT 0-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
0-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
1-1
HT 1-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
Backa Topola 5-2 Novi Pazar — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola swept aside Novi Pazar 5-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Backa Topola had 61% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 39%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 3.21 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Backa Topola and 1.33 for Novi Pazar.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar?
Backa Topola 5-2 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 59%, draw 25%, Novi Pazar 16%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.