Amed SK 2-1 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
77%
1.18
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
44%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Amed SK win — 77%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
79%
-2.7pp
14%
Draw
12%
+1.6pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.43/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.61
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -44%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
25.8 Crosses 11.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
2-1
AWAY Hatayspor
3.21 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
349 Passes 395
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 5
15 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK edged past Hatayspor 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Amed SK had 47% of the ball to Hatayspor's 53%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 3.21 to 1.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Amed SK's control.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Hatayspor?

Amed SK 2-1 Hatayspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 77%, draw 14%, Hatayspor 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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