Sivasspor vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sivasspor v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals
Sivasspor 3-2 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics
Sivasspor nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sivasspor had 49% of the ball to Manisa FK's 51%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.61 to 1.93.
What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Manisa FK?
Sivasspor 3-2 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Manisa FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 56%, draw 23%, Manisa FK 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.