Uthai Thani 3-1 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.22/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.10
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
273 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.2 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uthai Thani
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.96 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 1-1 HT 1-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
13.04.2025 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-0 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
03.04.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 5-2 HT 0-2 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uthai Thani
3-1
AWAY Muang Thong United
2.27 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
331 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uthai Thani vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uthai Thani beat Muang Thong United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Uthai Thani made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Uthai Thani had 52% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 48%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 2.27 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uthai Thani and 2.67 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Uthai Thani vs Muang Thong United?

Uthai Thani 3-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uthai Thani vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uthai Thani 36%, draw 26%, Muang Thong United 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
8 Nov 2025
14:00 Sukhothai vs Kanchanaburi Analysis →
14:30 Chiangrai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Analysis →