Uthai Thani 1-1 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.21/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.20
+42% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
16.6 Crosses 15.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uthai Thani
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.18 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
316 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-0 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
03.04.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 5-2 HT 0-2 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uthai Thani
1-1
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.51 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uthai Thani vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uthai Thani and Muang Thong United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Uthai Thani had 45% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.51 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uthai Thani and 3.50 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Uthai Thani vs Muang Thong United?

Uthai Thani 1-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uthai Thani vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Uthai Thani 40%, draw 29%, Muang Thong United 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uthai Thani) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uthai Thani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
20 Apr 2025
14:00 Rayong FC vs Khonkaen Utd Analysis →
14:00 Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Thai Port FC Analysis →
15:00 Nakhon Ratchasima vs Prachuap Analysis →