Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Thai Port FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nong Bua Pitchaya v Thai Port FC — Team-Based Signals
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Thai Port FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
TAY
Thai Port FC
TAY
3-0
HT 0-0
Nong Bua Pitchaya
TAY
Thai Port FC
TAY
Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-2 Thai Port FC — Actual Match Statistics
Thai Port FC squeezed past Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Nong Bua Pitchaya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 41% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 59%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.11 to 1.76.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 1.60 for Thai Port FC.
What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Thai Port FC?
Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-2 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Thai Port FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nong Bua Pitchaya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 46%, draw 27%, Thai Port FC 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya), BTTS No went the other way.