Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2025

Nakhon Ratchasima
1-1 HT 0-0
Prachuap
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Nakhon Ratchasima vs Prachuap Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nakhon Ratchasima v Prachuap — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 34%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.02/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.91
-9% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.9 Crosses 14.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nakhon Ratchasima vs Prachuap Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Prachuap
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.08 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
229 Passes 293
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.11.2024 Prachuap Prachuap 2-2 HT 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
21.01.2023 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-2 HT 0-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
21.08.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 0-1 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
30.01.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 2-3 HT 1-2 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
30.10.2021 Prachuap Prachuap 1-2 HT 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Prachuap — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1-1
AWAY Prachuap
1.31 xG 1.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
270 Passes 363
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima and Prachuap couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 42% of the ball to Prachuap's 58%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.31 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 1.60 for Prachuap.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Prachuap?

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 36%, draw 27%, Prachuap 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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