União de Leiria U23 1-3 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.48
-35% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME União de Leiria U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 6
21.08.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
1-3
AWAY Portimonense U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 got the better of União de Leiria U23 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was União de Leiria U23 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 55% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 45%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Portimonense U23?

União de Leiria U23 1-3 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 50%, draw 23%, Portimonense U23 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (União de Leiria U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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