Portimonense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-79% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
0-1
AWAY União de Leiria U23
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

União de Leiria U23 edged past Portimonense U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; União de Leiria U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 60% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 40%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Portimonense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 35%, draw 28%, União de Leiria U23 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (União de Leiria U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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