Benfica U23 3-2 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
38%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
50%
-14.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+12.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
3.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.49
+150% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
23.01.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-2 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
01.11.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
20.08.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
02.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 5-2 HT 1-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
3-2
AWAY Sporting CP U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP U23 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Benfica U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 53% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 47%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benfica U23 and 1.83 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Benfica U23 3-2 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 35%, draw 27%, Sporting CP U23 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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