Sporting CP U23 2-2 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.3pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
295 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Benfica U23
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
20.08.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
02.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 5-2 HT 1-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
31.10.2023 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 4-0 HT 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
2-2
AWAY Benfica U23
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 and Benfica U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 34% of the ball to Benfica U23's 66%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 0.80 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Sporting CP U23 2-2 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 39%, draw 20%, Benfica U23 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →