Benfica U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.2pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
2.43/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+36% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
02.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 5-2 HT 1-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
31.10.2023 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 4-0 HT 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-0
AWAY Sporting CP U23
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 squeezed past Sporting CP U23 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 58% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 42%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Benfica U23 and 2.75 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Benfica U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 41%, draw 27%, Sporting CP U23 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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