Estoril U23 0-2 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+6.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.7pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Farense U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
30.09.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-3 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
0-2
AWAY Farense U23
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 got the better of Estoril U23 2-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Estoril U23 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 61% of the ball to Farense U23's 39%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.00 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Farense U23?

Estoril U23 0-2 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 56%, draw 21%, Farense U23 23%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
21 Aug 2025
18:00 Portimonense U23 vs União de Leiria U23 Analysis →
22:00 Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Analysis →