Estoril U23 1-0 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 23%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.01/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-8% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +70%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Farense U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-3 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-0
AWAY Farense U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 nicked a narrow win over Farense U23 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 50% of the ball to Farense U23's 50%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Farense U23?

Estoril U23 1-0 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 49%, draw 25%, Farense U23 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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