Sporting CP U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.9
No
64%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.7pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.82/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.48
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
4 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
2-1
AWAY Portimonense U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 nicked a narrow win over Portimonense U23 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 47% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 53%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Sporting CP U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 54%, draw 24%, Portimonense U23 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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