Benfica U23 7-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 20%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
4.33/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.51
+150% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
25.04.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-4 HT 0-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-2 HT 1-2 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
7-0
AWAY Estrela U23
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 3
14 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 ran out comfortable winners over Estrela U23 7-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 71% of the ball to Estrela U23's 29%, shots finished 20-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica U23 and 1.00 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23?

Benfica U23 7-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 49%, draw 28%, Estrela U23 23%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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