Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela U23 v Benfica U23 — Team-Based Signals
Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Estrela U23 1-0 Benfica U23 — Actual Match Statistics
Estrela U23 edged past Benfica U23 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Estrela U23 had 42% of the ball to Benfica U23's 58%, shots finished 6-4.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estrela U23 and 3.00 for Benfica U23.
What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23?
Estrela U23 1-0 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 26%, draw 30%, Benfica U23 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica U23) went the other way.