Benfica U23 2-2 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
35%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+65% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +96%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
2-2
AWAY Estrela U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 and Estrela U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 52% of the ball to Estrela U23's 48%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23?

Benfica U23 2-2 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 43%, draw 21%, Estrela U23 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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