Gil Vicente U23 2-4 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.03
Over 2.5
39%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
45%
+15.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
55%
-15.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+5% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2-4
AWAY Famalicao U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 beat Gil Vicente U23 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 55% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 45%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Gil Vicente U23 2-4 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 31%, draw 28%, Famalicao U23 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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