Estoril U23 3-0 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-50% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
3-0
AWAY Vizela U23
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 ran out comfortable winners over Vizela U23 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 39% of the ball to Vizela U23's 61%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Vizela U23?

Estoril U23 3-0 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 51%, draw 25%, Vizela U23 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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