Estrela U23 0-4 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
1.01/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-25% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -63%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Benfica U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.02.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-2 HT 1-2 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-4
AWAY Benfica U23
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 swept aside Estrela U23 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 20% / 42%) promised a tight game; Benfica U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 35% of the ball to Benfica U23's 65%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23?

Estrela U23 0-4 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 38%, draw 20%, Benfica U23 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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