Famalicao U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.52/2.02
-13% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-4 HT 1-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
0-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 nicked a narrow win over Famalicao U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao U23 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 50% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 50%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Famalicao U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 47%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente U23 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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