Santa Clara U23 2-1 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.10.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
27.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-3 HT 0-2 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
2-1
AWAY Mafra U23
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 squeezed past Mafra U23 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Santa Clara U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 37% of the ball to Mafra U23's 63%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.00 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Mafra U23?

Santa Clara U23 2-1 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 36%, draw 30%, Mafra U23 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Under 2.5
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