Lugazi Municipal 5-2 Buhimba United Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

Lugazi Municipal
5-2 HT 2-0
Buhimba United Saints
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Lugazi Municipal vs Buhimba United Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugazi Municipal v Buhimba United Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Buhimba United Saints EU Bookmakers 27%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Lugazi Municipal 5-2 Buhimba United Saints — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
5-2
AWAY Buhimba United Saints
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs Buhimba United Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugazi Municipal swept aside Buhimba United Saints 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lugazi Municipal as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 53% of the ball to Buhimba United Saints's 47%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Buhimba United Saints?

Lugazi Municipal 5-2 Buhimba United Saints in the Uganda - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Buhimba United Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugazi Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 44%, draw 32%, Buhimba United Saints 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugazi Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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8 Nov 2025
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