NEC 1-1 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

NEC
1-1 HT 1-1
BUL
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
28%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 27%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.65/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.28
+42% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY BUL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2024 BUL BUL 1-1 HT 0-1 NEC NEC UGA
24.04.2024 NEC NEC 1-0 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
1-1
AWAY BUL
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NEC vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC and BUL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 37% / 22% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, NEC had 54% of the ball to BUL's 46%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, NEC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NEC and 0.50 for BUL.

What was the final score of NEC vs BUL?

NEC 1-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NEC 41%, draw 37%, BUL 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NEC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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