BUL 1-1 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 18 Dec 2024

BUL
1-1 HT 0-1
NEC
📅18/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.1pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 57%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -74% / -74%
0.53/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.49
-44% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
0W-0D-1L
AWAY NEC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 NEC NEC 1-0 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
1-1
AWAY NEC
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BUL vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL and NEC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was NEC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, BUL had 53% of the ball to NEC's 47%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of BUL vs NEC?

BUL 1-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BUL 25%, draw 30%, NEC 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NEC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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